2020 Presidential Election Polls: What the Latest Data Shows
Biden and Trump Neck and Neck in Key Swing States
Recent polls show that the race between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is tightening in key swing states. An average of polls conducted since July 6 shows that Trump has a 1-point lead over Biden in these states, compared to a 22-point lead in national polls.
Polls Include Kennedy in Race
Some polls also include Kanye West in the race, but these results are not included in the average shown on this page. The 270toWin Polling Average displays the current polling averages for each state, taking into account each poll's quality, sample size, and recency.
No Fundamental Change in Race
There has not been a fundamental change in the race since the Biden-Trump debate on September 29. Biden has not made significant gains in the swing states, and Trump's lead has remained relatively stable.
Tight Race Expected
With just 11 days until the election, the race is expected to remain tight until the end. The polls could still change significantly in the coming days, but the current data suggests that the race is too close to call.
Additional Resources
- 270toWin Polling Average
- RealClearPolitics 2020 Presidential Election Polls
- FiveThirtyEight 2020 Presidential Election Forecast
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